7:00 AM ET
At the end of every day during the baseball postseason, I run a set up simulations to estimate the updated probabilities for each series and the ultimate outcome of the bracket. I add the newest results to a log and send them in to Bristol HQ, for inclusion in our ongoing coverage of the playoffs.
Date Win ALCS Win WS Result Oct. 8 36.6% 8.9% Clinched LDS over Oakland Oct. 11 24.4% 6.9% Lost Game 1 to Tampa Bay Oct. 12 12.7% 3.4% Lost Game 2 to Tampa Bay Oct. 13 3.6% 1.1% Lost Game 3 to Tampa Bay Oct. 14 7.1% 2.2% Won Game 4 over Tampa Bay Oct. 15 15.3% 4.6% Won Game 5 over Tampa Bay
This is like that scene in a movie where a character is drowning — let’s call him “Astro” — and is pulled out of water by the hero, whom we’ll call “Dusty.” Dusty launches into some desperate CPR and starts pleading with Astro