A new poll of Florida’s 16th Congressional District shows Republican U.S. Rep. Vern Buchanan with a double-digit lead over Democratic state Rep. Margaret Good.
The Data Targeting survey found that Buchanan, currently in his seventh term, would earn more than 50% of the vote if the election were held today.
Most of that is hard support — 46% said they would definitely vote for the incumbent. Another 5% said they would probably vote for him, while 2% said they were leaning that way.
His combined support of 53% outperforms the poll’s generic ballot query, where voters leaned toward a nameless GOP candidate by a 50%-39% margin.
Good, meanwhile, underperformed compared to a no-name Democrat. The poll shows she would snag about 37% of the vote. Of that, 32% said they would definitely vote for her, 4% said they probably would and 1% said they were leaning toward good.
The bottom line: Buchanan leads 52%-37%, with 9% undecided and 1% refusing to answer.
Those polled were also asked about their vote at the top of the ballot. As he did in 2016, President Donald Trump holds the advantage in CD 16 with 51% support to Biden’s