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This is not the offseason to make predictions. As Buster Olney and Jeff Passan have already outlined, due to the financial conditions in the sport due to the shortened season with no fans in the stands — and the uncertainty of what will happen in 2021 — there will be big rollbacks in payrolls. Former Rockies general manager Dan O’Dowd said on MLB Network that he expects two-thirds of teams not to be spending in free agency.
We’ve already seen the cutbacks begin, with quality players like Charlie Morton, Brad Hand and Kolten Wong (among others) not getting reasonable team options exercised for 2021, instead becoming free agents. The deadline for offering 2021 contracts is Dec. 2, and the expectation is that some interesting names will be non-tendered, sending those players into free agency as well. It means a free-agent market that will be flooded with players, with teams not wanting to spend, and thus signings and movement will happen very slowly — with player salaries ultimately taking a nosedive. All this will also affect the trade market.
It also means that teams can find potential bargains out there if they want to, if they’re willing