Democrat Margaret Good’s campaign released a poll showing her within 6 percentage points of incumbent GOP Rep. Vern Buchanan.
A memo from Global Strategy Group shows Buchanan as the choice of 49% of voters with Good at 43%. With the incumbent under 50%, that leaves a real, albeit narrow, path to ousting the seven-term Congressman.
But the Buchanan camp responded to the leaked poll with a release of its own internal polling. That shows the incumbent leading with 53% to Good’s 37%. That wide and insurmountable lead was measured by Data Targeting.
The Buchanan poll was conducted from Sept. 29 to Oct. 1, and reports a 4.9% margin of error. The Good survey was taken between Sept. 24 and 27, with a margin of error of 4.4%. Neither camp released full crosstabs on the race.
Good’s pollsters suggest the district looks far less rosy for Republicans in the current political environment. While President Donald Trump in 2016 won in Florida’s 16th Congressional District by nine percentage points over Hillary Clinton, the Republican President holds just a 2-point lead over Joe Biden in the district today.
Moreover, the Global Strategy Group says Buchanan doesn’t garner any