Steve Schale: Notes on the final Sunday of early voting in Florida – Florida Politics (blog)
From: Steve Schale, A Tired Florida Man
Re: 2nd to last Memo
2 days until E-Day
4 days until I am home for a nice long time.
6 days until FSU basketball tips off.
That’s all I care about now.
It is Sunday. We are so close to the end of this shibacle that let’s all be extra careful not to do anything to break it.
Today marks Souls to the Polls. I am celebrating this day by taking a group of Turkish political party leaders to St. Mark AME Church in Orlando with my buddy, State Representative Elect Kamia Brown. President Obama is in Osceola County today, a place that he held a rally in 2008 with then President Bill Clinton, and Fake Former President Matt Santos. I believe it may have been the first political rally in Florida with three Presidents on stage, that is, outside of a meeting of Condo Presidents in Broward.
Speaking of Broward, Hillary Clinton was there on Saturday, helping turn out more vote. Broward had another solid day, with almost 36K in-person votes.
All in all, just over 420K Floridians voted yesterday, it was the best net day of the cycle for Democrats.
Total Ballots cast: 6,152,099
Total Vote By Mail: 2,536,167 (42.2%)
Total Early Vote: 3,615,932 (57.8%)
Democrats: 2,435,493 (39.58%)
Republicans: 2,403,171 (39.06%)
NPA: 1,201,715 (21.35%)
Total Margin: DEM +0.59%
For the record, my go-to model for this cycle has been 40D-39R-21NPA. NPA’s are going to outpace it, but I do think +1 DEM is pretty safe.
One of the biggest things to note is how fast the NPA share has grown
After Sat: 21.35%
After Fri: 20.55%
After Thurs: 20.2%
After Wed: 19.8%
After Sunday: 19.3%
So far, through Friday, the electorate is 67.4% white, but among NPAs, it is