Sunburn – The morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics.

By Peter Schorsch, Phil Ammann, Daniel McAuliffe, Jim Rosica, and Drew Wilson.

Mail ballots have been trickling into county supervisor of elections offices since mid-September, and while there’s only evidence of a “blue ripple” so far, the door hasn’t closed on the 2018 election living up to the hype.

As of Monday, more than 450,000 mail ballots had been returned, and registered Republicans lead Democrats by more than 35,000 votes. But more important than how many ballots have completed their round trip is where they’re coming from.

So far, traditionally Republican strongholds in Southwest Florida have been leading the way in returns, helping the GOP rack up that lead while the deep-blue counties in South Florida have only tallied a handful of ballots.

Looking at the numbers, Florida Democrats say everything is pointing to a favorable cycle for them, highlighting stats including a 6-point bump in Democratic returns in Sarasota County as well as smaller boosts in Charlotte and Lee counties.

The party is also pointing touting its turnout lead among young and Hispanic voters, and the Sunshine State’s perennial minority party is holding out hope that the extra

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