Survey shows Democrats could flip Donald Trump’s state House district this fall

A new St. Pete Polls survey shows Democratic challenger Jim Bonfiglio leading GOP Rep. Mike Caruso in the state House District that encapsulates Donald Trump‘s Mar-a-Lago resort. That resort now serves as the President’s primary residence.

Bonfiglio’s 2-point lead is well within the survey’s margin of error. But it shows Democrats should make this contest competitive once again after Caruso won the open seat in 2018 by just 32 votes out of more than 78,000 cast.

St. Pete Polls found 47% of House District 89 voters plan to support Bonfiglio this fall. Caruso earned 45% support while the remaining 8.5% of respondents were undecided.

The survey ran on Oct. 6 and sampled 409 likely HD 89 voters. It has a margin of error of 4.8 percentage points.

Those results show a good trend for Bonfiglio. He trailed Caruso by three points in a mid-September survey from Florida Watch and Progress Florida. That poll put Caruso ahead 45%-42%, a lead that was within the survey’s 4.9-percentage-point margin of error.

The Florida Watch and Progress Florida poll found Bonfiglio lagging behind Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden‘s performance by 11 points inside the district. Biden was up 8

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